The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-But Some Don't

Nate Silver

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"Nate Silver's The Signal and the Noise is The Soul of a New Machine for the 21st century."
�Rachel Maddow, author of Drift
Nate Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair�s breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger�all by the time he was thirty. The New York Times now publishes FiveThirtyEight.com, where Silver is one of the nation�s most influential political forecasters.